DFS, April 23, 2022, 2022 Fantast Baseball DFS

Quick recap through two plus weeks shows strikes and homeruns are both down. Knowing what I pay for when I go to a MLB game, I prefer both of those statistics to increase. I think as the weather warms up and starting pitching arms move away from the ‘dead arm’ phase that normally hits in Spring Training, we should see both increase. For now, the strategy will be to pay for pitchers that have solid K/9 rates and batters that can mash the ball out of any park. With that, we need to save some money like we did last Saturday with Steven Matz and Jonathan Villar. The only issue with those two names is they are the only two that hit for me/us. We turn the page and look to today to get right. The names below should help you do just that. The key here is we are stacking inexpensive Mariners against a weak LHP.

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Alex Wood, SP: DK: $9,200 / FD: $9,600 – Can we be honest for a minute? What kind of voodoo science is the SFG pitching department using? Whatever it is to create these starting pitcher reclamation projects (Wood, Cobb, etc.) I am here for it. Wood’s K/9 is just below 11 and I do not see that dropping against a Nationals team that simply does not hit or score a ton of runs. If Wood can stay in the zone and get ahead in the count, he will have a positive outcome. I am confident the Giants will score enough to win the game as well.

Matt Brash, SP: DK: $9,000 / FD: $8,600 – Add this guy to the list of reasons the Mariners will be fun to watch and follow for years to come. This line-up has a ton of young named talent and they are not far away from putting it all together. Brash made the team out of Spring Training and has already proven to be unflappable at the big league level. Two starts, one win and K/9 around 10. The major concern is his walk rate. Brash has walked 7 in 10.2 innings and that will not cut it. I think he continues to hone his craft and reduces the walk rate which increases all other stats in a positive manner. Throw in the listless KCR lineup and Brash is in for a solid Saturday.

Daulton Varsho, C/1B: DK: $3,900 / FD: $2,500 – We should use this guy while he still qualifies at catcher, right? The D-Backs have started to hit the ball a little more and having Varsho at the top of the lineup has proven to be a solid decision. Couple his recent success with the NYM throwing spot-starter Trevor Williams on the hill and you have a combination working in Varsho’s favor.

Ty France C/1B: DK: $4,800 / FD: $3,800 – Mashing the ball is what France is doing right now and now he gets lefty Kris Bubic for the first Mariners weekend homestand of the campaign. I like France to pick up where he started on Thursday when he crushed a two-run bomb to put the M’s up 2-0 early. Bubic has an ERA resembling an NFL score and we love this right-handed bat against the lefty hurler.

Jazz Chisholm, 2B: DK: $5,400 / FD: $3,700 – I almost typed “Jazz” and moved on. You know, Jazz, like Pele’, Madonna, Prince, etc. Dude only needs the one name at this point. Seriously, watching this guy makes me want to petition MLB baseball to treat him like Ichiro with only his first name on the back of the jersey. Jazz is what we all want to see in baseball these days. Jazz is what fun looks like. If you have not seen the footage of Jazz’s concern with a questionable strike call Thursday followed by an absolute moon shot homerun to follow, please treat yourself to the video. While you are at it, check his Twitter @j_chisholm which I feel is about to be a must-follow account.

Eugenio Suarez, 3B: DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,300 – Do not, I repeat, DON’T look at this guy’s batting average. We play him for one reason and one reason only…cheap power! Suarez feasts on LHP pitching and as we mentioned in the France section, Bubic is just the guy Suarez loves to see. I would not be shocked to see a double dong day for Eugenio on Saturday.

Xander Bogaerts, SS: DK: $9,000 / FD: $3,900 – Do, I repeat, DO look at this guy’s batting average. Heading into play on Saturday, Bogaerts is sporting a .385 average. His power is not quite there, yet, but I think that changes this weekend against a spot-start Chris Mazza (who?). If you have ever been to a BoSox/Rays series in St. Pete, you recognize early on there are many, many more Boston fans in the building. I think that is why the Sox show up big time for these games and I see Bogaerts having a big weekend.

Giancarlo Stanton, OF: DK: $5,300 / FD: $3,300 – This is a tough call between Stanton and Judge and I am only leaning Stanton as Judge is more of a chalk play. By now, you have probably noticed a theme in my picks. I love to see spot-starts on the docket and will attempt to maximize those matchups where feasible. Cleveland rolls into the Bronx with their pitching staff doing well. Nobody is going to mistake Kirk McCarthy for Shane Bieber, so we should jump all over this LHP, especially in a ballpark known for home runs. I see an oppo-taco for Stanton on Saturday.

Corey Dickerson, OF: DK: $3,200 / FD: $2,200 – Let’s save some real money with our final pick for Saturday. Dickerson should be very low owned based on his early season struggles so we are happy to take the cost savings. Sure, the .158 average is concerning, but there are many players off to slow starts. The thing tipping the scale for me is his history against Tyler Mahle. Dickerson is 2-7 with 2 HR and we are swinging for the fences with this sneaky pick.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

No significant weather issues of note. The only stadium scheduled to have any wind is in Anaheim and we are currently avoiding players from BAL/LAA not named Shohei Ohtani. Due to the COL/DET PPD Friday, these same teams will play a split double-header Saturday.

Doing Lines In Vegas

Transparency first here, anyone that bets on baseball because they think they know what will happen in baseball is a sucker. Insert me into this theory last Saturday and I lost all five plus money bets. Yes, even Seattle who got shutout by Houston and Justin Verlander. So, what now, you ask? Obviously, give me Seattle at -135. Also, the ChiSox will start hitting very soon and I like +110 at Minnesota. And, finally, based on the weak Oakland squad, I would add a few bucks on Texas at -105.

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